Hype Music for the Week: "Luck be a Lady" by Frank Sinatra
I waned something Vegas-ish, as I write this from the middle of Bill Walton's 'peaceful oasis in the heart of the Mojave.' To my ears, 'Viva Las Vegas' is too cliché, so to hell with that. Maybe Ol' Blue Eyes singing about luck and escorts is just as cliché, but at least it's Frank. He's more Vegas than Elvis could ever hope to be -- hell he's actually in the Gaming Hall of Fame. Enjoy!
Kickoff from Reser Stadium in Corvallis, OR is set for 8:30pm tomorrow night. Television coverage can be found on Pac-12 Networks, with the radio call on 850 KOA. Bets can be taken at the casino's sport book... oh right, that's only here in Las Vegas. Well, make due with what ya got.
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When last we met -
If you thought last weekend's game against Arizona was a bad beat, then turn your hymnal back to the October '14 tilt with Oregon State at Folsom Field and despair. Colorado didn't help their cause with a terrible start, as their first three drives went punt, turnover on downs, interception, allowing the Beavers to build a 14-0 lead before the first counter-punch was thrown. However, the counter punch did come, and CU reeled off back-to-back 75-yard touchdown drives -- throw in another score before half and the Buffs took a lead into the break for a third consecutive game. Put the champagne on ice, right?
|Close, but no cigar for Colorado. From: the BDC|
The Buffs did show a little late life, responding with a 75-yard scoring drive in only eight plays and two minutes to give themselves a flicker of hope. That flicker would turn into a bonfire after a terrible special teams blunder from the Beavers dumped them deep inside their own territory. With nothing left but to run some clock and punt, Colorado got the ball back with only 44 yards to gain and a-buck-42 to do it in. But it was not to be, however, as QB Sefo Liufau would miss on three of four attempts to end the threat. Ballgame: 36-31, Oregon State. #TheScipt at it finest.
|Give 'em some credit, the Buffs never gave in. From the BDC|
The Beavers in 2015 -
Their NCAA statistical profile can be found here.
Let's start off with this: the Oregon State Beavers are not a good football team. At 2-4 on the year, they come in with only one win against a FBS opponent- a 35-21 win over San Jose State, a game they trailed at half - and have lost their other five in-subdivision games by an average of 26 points. Last weekend they got whupped by 21 at Washington State, at one point trailing 45-17 in the 4th quarter. That loss marked their ninth conference loss in ten tries, a streak only broken up by that win in Boulder mentioned above. By all measures they are the worst team in the Pac-12 North, and have a decent claim for being the worst team in the whole conference (a claim that will be settled this weekend). Feel free to use the word 'trainwreck' when speaking of them.
|Your high point is a win over a shitty Mountain West team? Been there, bro. Been there. From: The Columbian|
OSU's offensive Achilles heel is their passing game, which doesn't even net them 150 yards per game. They boast one of the single worst passing efficiencies in all of football, and have thrown only one more TD (six) then interception on the year (five). While they do run it all right, and use a mobile-QB scheme to get there, the lack of any threat through the air, without putting up the numbers of a dedicated option team on the ground, has the Beavers behind the 8-ball from the second they run out from the tunnel. No wonder high-octane teams like WSU and Arizona blew through them without much resistance over the last few weeks.
|Their defense isn't nearly as bad as their offense, but OSC has still been gashed in recent weeks. From: KATU.com|
Star Players -
As you would expect from an offense that is all sixes-and-sevens, QB play is an issue. It started in camp where redshirt freshman Marcus McMaryion butted his head into what was supposed to be a two-way battle for the starting job between true freshman Seth Collins and another redshirt frosh Nick Mitchell. If the adage of 'if you have two quarterbacks, then you have none' holds true, then what happens if you have three? Collins eventually won out, with Mitchell pushing for more time as disappointing results have piled, but the freshman tussle for snaps couldn't have helped things.
|Collins has hops, I'll give him that. From: Pacific Takes|
|Won't somebody, please, get Victor Bolden the damn ball? From: DemocratHerald.com|
On defense, OSU is shuffling their secondary like a deck of cards. They tried nine different players and a myriad of combinations across all five standard positions against Washington State (a pass-first, second, third, and fourth team) last weekend to no avail. Possibly less of a focus this week, as CU isn't going to start running Mike Leach's raid attack any time soon, I still have no idea who's going to see the majority of action. I would guess that Dwayne Williams and Devin Chappell will probably gets second looks after last week, Treston Decoud should return to the starting lineup, and safety Justin Strong is a constant, but, after that, it's a mystery.
|Mageo is their best on defense. From: OregonLive.com|
This is one of the more curious coaching situations in all of college football. The departed Mike Riley - who I though was an Oregon State lifer, having been there off and on since the 90s - up and bolted for Nebraska of all places (how and why that came to be is beyond me), leaving the Beavers to scramble for a head coach. They turned their eyes to Gary Andersen, then the Wisconsin head coach, and a former hot coaching name from his days at Utah State. If Riley's departure for Lincoln was confusing, Andersen's defection from Madison was doubly so, as being head Badger seemed very desirous, and Oregon State is a relative backwater (even with the influx of Pac-12 media money). Must've been something Barry Alvarez said...
|How the hell did that happen? From: OregonLive.com|
In response to the struggles, Andersen has sought out the advise of... Gary Crowton? Really? As a Bears fan, I can't help but laugh here, as Crowton was one of the most pathetic OC's in Chicago's recent history, a footnote on the stain that was the Dick Jauron era. Yeesh, Gary's in trouble if he's digging that deep in the barrel.
My 2015 record: 6-1. Against the spread: 4-2. Optimistic/pessimistic: CU +0.67 pts/gm
Line as of Wednesday @ 7pm - CU +2.5, O/U 59
It all comes down to what the Buffs can get on offense. If it's anything worth mentioning, they're going to win. Bash Sefo all you want, but he can move the football, and even without his two flashiest weapons (Michael Adkins and Shay Fields), I'll say he gets CU in the endzone enough times to keep the toothless Beavers at bay.
Give me the Buffs outright on the road. You heard me.
CU 32 - OSU 20
GO BUFFS! PROVE ME RIGHT, AND POUND THE BEAVERS!